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Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Does Transit of Venus pattern predict global climate change?

I've been researching the 2012 Transit of Venus and emailing back and forth with Charles Pope about patterns that may tie Venus Transits with global catastrophes including droughts and famines.

Here's where the evidence is at so far:

A major global calamity occurred about 3,170 years ago (and interestingly, Transits of Venus are recorded in the years 1155 BC and 1163 BC) as shown in Greenland ice strata. The date of 1159 BC has been pegged by scientists as the date of a major catastrophe on Earth, and Charles has posted
links to 1159 BC event and catastrophism research on his DomainOfMan.com website forum.

With the pattern of the Transit of Venus recurring every 243 years, the 2004 and 2012 Transits would be the thirteenth repetition since that disaster, hence the fear of meteors and other events in 2012. The Mayans knew all about the Cycles of Venus and most people believe the
Mayan Calendar ends on December 21, 2012, indicating the dawn of a new era on Gaia. Actually, December 21, 2012 is simply the last day of the 13th b'ak'tun. But that is not the end of the Long Count because the 14th through 20th b'ak'tuns are still to come. Each b'ak'tuns represents 144,000 days, or 394.26 years. 21/12/2012 ( to the Maya) is believed to to be the end-date of a 5,125-year-long cycle in the Mayan Long Count calendar.

Yet it doesn't end there; 469 years before the 1159 BC global catastro
phe, there were major climate issues circa 1628 BC, thirteen to twenty-one years after the Transits of 1649 BC and 1641 BC. Going back even further, there seem to have been catastrophic global climate events circa 4400 BC, 7553 BC and 10,700 BC. With the average interval between these events adding up to about 3,180 years, it could mean that when the 13th cycle occurs, both Earth and Venus are in a region of the Milky Way with more space debris, or it may not mean anything at all. The 1628 BC situation indicates that the 11th Venus Cycle may also be a source of tribulation.

So let's count back 469 years from 2008 (midway point between the two Transits of Venus during the 21st Century) to the year 1539 AD, and see if this pattern persists in the most recent 11th Cycle of Venus.

1628 BC versus 1159 BC, global catastrophe analysis

First, we note that 1539 AD is thirteen to twenty-one years after the Transits of Venus that happened in 1518 and 1526.

Second, how'd that work out for humans?

The Americas:

Scientists have studied
tree ring ring chronologies in the Americas dating back to 1200 AD, and the only significant drought in this hemisphere took place in the 16th century, during the mid-1500s. According to researchers at University of Arkansas, the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, the University of Arizona, Valdosta State University and the University of Western Ontario:

- dry conditions extended from the Sierra Madre Occidental in Mexico and the Southwest to the Rocky Mountains and the Mississippi Valley throughout the last half of the 1500s

- tree ring records tell of the worst drought in 1,000 years, with an extended period of dryness lasting 40 years in places

- severely dry weather over the Southwest and northern Mexico may explain why some American Indians in these areas abandoned their pueblos between 1540 and 1598, the researchers contend

- one of the fiercest and longest battles between American Indians and European settlers, the Chichimeca War in Mexico, raged for 40 years beginning in 1550, during the most severe part of the drought (reminding one of the time-tested aphorism, "whiskey's for drinking, water's for fighting over" - Joe)


According to the research paper
European Tree Rings and Climate in the 16th Century, body of evidence shows that a large region of mid and northern Europe experienced a sharp cooling at around 1570/80 that, at least in the north, marked a shift towards a prolonged period of cool conditions.

In an
analysis of European summer tempertaues since 1500 by Hans Erren:

- I do not question the extreme nature of the summer of 2003, however, using the Pfister index, this summer would rank 3 only in June and August, the 2003 summer index so equals 1536, 1540

- As moisture and temperature both are growth stimulators, a lack of moisture in an extreme warm year will result in retarded growth. As an extreme hot summer in Europe is caused by high pressure blockade, this also prevents rain arriving from the Atlantic. As a consequence, peak years like eg 1540 are not recorded in eg the
Larch dataset of Berchtesgaden, whereas a cold summer like 1542 is clearly present. (To me this means lack of tree ring growth can sometimes be mistakenly thought to be due to coldness, but can in fact be the effect of extreme heat and the resultant lack of moisture - Joe).

- arguing that the reconstruction prior to c 1750 has a cold bias. In particular the extraordinary year 1540 is not well represented in the reconstruction of summer temperatures.

- Written records of 1540 include widespread forest fires and reports of cattle dying. The Rhine in Cologne was so low that somebody was able to cross it on horseback. The wine had an unusual high alcohol content, so much that people lay drunk in the streets.

- The conclusion of Luterbacher et al of "2003 being the hottest of the last 500 years" is highly debatable, 1540 being a likely competitor.

Now, going back another 3,159 years 13 times the 243 years pattern of the Transit of Venus, it is obviously harder to find evidence of cataclysmic change, but let's look at the year 4,318 BC and the decades near to that date for some clues.

According to ClimateChangeFraud.com analysis on ancient weather trends, The first warming era began around 4,300 BC when the Sahara bloomed, with plants and forests also spreading over Northern Europe and Canada.

The United Nations Chronicle reports that by around 4200 B.C., an abrupt turn of climate led to dramatic changes all over the world. On the banks of the Nile, the Egyptians had established a centralized State. Successive dynasties constructed imposing pyramids for four hundred years from 4600 to 4200 B.C., before a sudden, unanticipated series of reduced Nile flood discharge spelled disaster. The government collapsed. Famines ravaged the rural population, violence erupted and the whole country slipped into a state of chaos.

My belief is we need to know which of the Transits of Venus were close to those dates (I've emailed NASA to ask...), and we will need a lot more information before we can extend the pattern this far back and further. That will give us more insight into the 13th Cycle of Venus, and any events around or shortly after 4,787 BC (469 years before 4318 BC) should provide more data for problems related to the 11th Cycle of Venus.

I'd like to gather more tree ring data and climate reports from other continents, so please post any relevant links in the Comments section below. I am very curious to see how Africa and Asia will be affected, but then again it may not be predictable. If meteors flung loose from Venus' gravitational field and pulled into earth's realm are a significant contributing factor, then the ratio of those that hit land (sun-blocking global cooling) to those that hit water (tsunamis, increased moisture in environment, possibly warming but definitely yiled-increasing) may determine whether we face a catastrophe...or we wake to find the sahara desert again in bloom, surrounded by a ring of giant lakes, as it was some millennia ago.

If the patterns shown above are more than coincidence, so far we have determined that the next few decades may bring some extreme swings of temperaure to Northern Europe, while drought conditions could very well persist in the Southern USA, Mexico and Central America. Let's hope (hello my atheist friends) and pray (namaste ye faithful) that when we make it through this century and the aftermath of the 13th Venus Cycle, it will be clear sailing ahead for the next ten cycles.

Counting the 2117 / 2125 pair of transits as Venus Transit Cycle One of the new era, we then add 3,159 years (13 patterns of 243 years) to the year 1526 (end of most recent 11th Cycle) and we arrive at the year 4685 AD (or CE, if you will). So, if this indicator is valid, the waning decades of the 21st Century may also signal a glowing Golden Age dawning, one that our and grandchildren and their offspring will cherish and enjoy, for three millennia.

It has been claimed that knowledge is power, so let's keep seeking and be not fearful.

Peace 2 All,

Yuya Joe College
Toronto the Good

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